Detection of Severe Respiratory Disease Epidemic Outbreaks by CUSUM-Based Overcrowd-Severe-Respiratory-Disease-Index Model

Detection of Severe Respiratory Disease Epidemic Outbreaks by CUSUM-Based Overcrowd-Severe-Respiratory-Disease-Index Model

A severe respiratory disease epidemic outbreak correlates with a high demand of specific supplies and specialized personnel to hold it back in a wide region or set of regions; these supplies would be beds, storage areas, hemodynamic monitors, and mechanical ventilators, as well as physicians, respiratory technicians, and specialized nurses. We describe an online cumulative sum based model named...

Modelling the severe acute respiratory syndrome epidemic.

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Epidemic in Asia

We analyzed the dynamics of cumulative severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) cases in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Beijing using the Richards model. The predicted total SARS incidence was close to the actual number of cases; the predicted cessation date was close to the lower limit of the 95% confidence interval.

Epidemic Respiratory Disease

tions, but these are fully recorded in this volume; and several of the post-mortem findings are illustrated by excellent photographs and photomicrographs. But, in view of the discordant opinions as to the etiology of influenza, it may be useful to summarise some of the opinions and the findings of the authors. In the first place, B. influenza Pfeiffer was found present in all cases of uncomplic...

BK Polyomavirus in Respiratory Specimens of Patients with Respiratory Disease

Background and Aims: The role of BK and JC polyomaviruses (BKV and JCV) in the causation of respiratory disease and the natural route of transmission has not well been established. The aim of study was to determine the prevalence of BK and JC viruses in 280 respiratory samples and evaluate their contribution to respiratory disease. Materials and Methods: PCR was used to screen specimens for BK...